What is ARV and how should I use it?
After repair value explained for Pittsburgh investors
ARV (after repair value) is the estimated resale value of a property once a defined scope of repairs is complete. Investors use ARV to cap purchase price (via MAO rules), size profit on a flip, and plan BRRRR refinances - always tied to supportable comps, not wishful pricing.
What ARV represents
ARV answers: "What should this home be worth in finished condition relative to similar sold homes?" It is not list price, tax assessment, or automated value alone. It is a forward-looking appraisal-style anchor based on renovated comparables.
How investors use ARV in practice
- Offer discipline: Many investors work backward from ARV and rehab to a maximum purchase price so margin stays intact.
- Profit planning: Expected profit ties to ARV minus all-in cost (purchase, carry, rehab, sale).
- Refinance modeling: For BRRRR, expected ARV feeds LTV assumptions on the refinance leg - conservative ARV reduces refinance risk.
Common mistakes with ARV
- Anchoring ARV on a single too optimistic comp. ARV should reflect recent comparable sales of single-family homes with similar bed / bath / square-footage and in the same condition - DealScanner's model already weights these together along with location and market trends. Trusting one high outlier inflates the headline and shrinks real margin.
- Pulling comps from a better neighborhood or block. A sale two streets over in a higher-tier school catchment or a tighter sub-market is not your comp. Stay inside the same micro-market the appraiser will use.
- Mixing condition tiers. A fully renovated A-class comp does not support your B-class rental-grade scope, and a fixer comp does not support your post-rehab ARV. Condition has to match what the property will be when it sells or refinances.
- Ignoring needed structural work. If the comp had no foundation or sewer issues and your subject does, the comp is too high until you discount for the work the buyer/appraiser will see.
- Treating ARV as a single number. In Allegheny County, street-level and block-level variance is real - underwrite a range (P25 / median / P75 of comps) and stress-test the deal against the median, not the top of the range.
- Re-pricing ARV to make the deal pencil. If the only way the offer works is by raising ARV $10k, the deal does not work - your model just got loose.
See ARV on any active listing
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